Modelling and Projecting Global Land-use Impacts on Local Terrestrial Biodiversity: The PREDICTS Project

The Linnean Society of London, Burlington House, Piccadilly, London, W1J 0BF, United Kingdom
+44 (0)20 7434 4479 EXT 211

EVENING MEETING 18:00–19:00 Thursday 14 September 2017

Mount Taranaki New Zealand
Mount Taranaki in New Zealand © Axelspace Corporation [CC BY-SA 4.0 (], via Wikimedia Commons

How have land-use pressures changed ecological assemblages worldwide, and what will happen in the rest of this century? The first of these questions is hard to answer with biodiversity monitoring data; the second is impossible. PREDICTS (Projecting Responses of Ecological Diversity In Changing Terrestrial Systems) has therefore taken a different approach, modelling land-use effects using a purpose-built global database of over 700 field studies worldwide that have compared ecological assemblages in sites facing different human pressures – a total of over 30,000 sites and 50,000 species. 

In this lecture, Professor Andy Purvis—Natural History Museum, London—will outline already-published results on the global and national state of biodiversity. Andy will also present his latest projections of the future of biodiversity under alternative socioeconomic pathways that society might follow to mitigate climate change.

  • This event is free and open to all.
  • Registration is essential. Seats will be allocated on a first-come, first-served basis.
  • Doors will open at 17:30.
  • Tea will be served in the Library from 17:30 and the event will be followed by a wine reception.
  • Registration for this event is now CLOSED.

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